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When Choke-points Choke: How Global Maritime Tensions Threaten Trade, Energy and the World Economy

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When Choke-points Choke: How Global Maritime Tensions Threaten Trade, Energy and the World Economy

The world’s shipping lanes are under pressure — and the ripple effects are being felt far beyond the Middle East.

By Okeoghene Onoriobe, Waterways News Correspondent, Lagos

Heightened geopolitical tensions involving Iran, the United States and Israel have cast a sharp spotlight on the narrow waterways that quietly keep global trade and energy supply chains alive. As conflict simmers in the region, maritime analysts are sounding the alarm: the world’s most critical chokepoints have never been more vulnerable — or more consequential.

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At the centre of the crisis is the Strait of Hormuz, the slender passage between Iran and Oman through which roughly 20 percent of the world’s oil supply flows daily. It is the only sea outlet for major Gulf oil producers, and its disruption would send shockwaves through energy markets worldwide. Recent incidents in the strait have already rattled global commodity prices and reignited debates about energy security.

“Any prolonged instability in these waterways could significantly impact supply chains, increase shipping costs, and trigger wider economic consequences,” analysts warn.

Maritime Trade: The Numbers Tell the Story

The scale of what is at stake is staggering. Maritime transport accounts for approximately 80 percent of global trade by volume and more than 70 percent by value. The world’s goods — from crude oil and liquefied gas to smartphones and grain — move overwhelmingly by sea. And much of that movement is funnelled through a handful of narrow passages where geography offers no alternatives.

When those passages are blocked or threatened, vessels are forced onto longer, costlier detours — most notably around the Cape of Good Hope at Africa’s southern tip — adding days or weeks to voyage times and significantly raising shipping costs passed on to consumers.

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A World Tour of Strategic Waterways

Beyond Hormuz, several other chokepoints are equally vital to global commerce:

The Bab al-Mandeb Strait, linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden, handles roughly 12 percent of global trade. It has seen a surge in vessel attacks in recent years, shaking confidence in safe passage for commercial shipping.

The Suez Canal in Egypt remains the critical shortcut between Asia and Europe — but its fragility was exposed dramatically in 2021 when a grounded container ship blocked it for nearly a week, freezing billions of dollars in cargo daily.

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The Turkish Straits — the Bosphorus and Dardanelles — are the sole maritime bridge between the Black Sea and the Mediterranean, carrying vital oil and gas exports from Eastern Europe and Central Asia.

In Asia, the Strait of Malacca is arguably the world’s busiest shipping corridor, handling about 40 percent of global trade and a significant share of China’s energy imports. The Taiwan Strait, meanwhile, carries over 20 percent of global maritime trade by value, including critical semiconductor shipments that power the global technology industry.

Across the Atlantic, the Panama Canal remains indispensable for trade between the Pacific and Atlantic — particularly for cargo bound for the United States and liquefied petroleum gas shipments heading to Asia.

The Strait of Gibraltar and Danish Straits round out the picture as key Atlantic-Mediterranean and Baltic gateways respectively.

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The Cape Route Returns

With Middle Eastern waterways growing riskier, the Cape of Good Hope has quietly staged a comeback as an alternative shipping route. Longer and more expensive, it nonetheless offers a critical safety valve for vessels avoiding conflict zones — a reflection of just how fragile the primary routes have become.

A Call for International Cooperation

Experts are unified in their assessment: the growing frequency of geopolitical tensions, combined with ever-rising global trade volumes, makes the security of these chokepoints a matter of urgent international priority.

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Any sustained disruption threatens not just shipping companies and energy markets, but the everyday lives of consumers across the globe — through higher fuel prices, product shortages and supply chain delays.

“The current situation highlights the need for international cooperation to ensure the safety of these strategic waterways,” maritime security specialists note, “which remain the backbone of global commerce.”

For a maritime nation like Nigeria — with its busy ports, extensive coastline and dependence on imported goods and exported crude — the stability of these global sea lanes is not a distant geopolitical concern. It is an economic lifeline.


Waterways News — Tracking the Tides of Maritime Trade and Shipping

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Business

NIMASA to Launch Mandatory Registration Portal to Curb Foreign Takeover of Nigerian Shipping Agents Business

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NIMASA to Launch Mandatory Registration Portal to Curb Foreign Takeover of Nigerian Shipping Agents Business

By Okeoghene Onoriobe, Waterways News Correspondent, Lagos

The Nigerian Maritime Administration and Safety Agency (NIMASA) has announced plans to establish a dedicated Shipping Business and Registration Unit at the Federal Ministry of Marine and Blue Economy, as part of measures to end the growing foreign encroachment into shipping agency operations — a sector long reserved for Nigerian indigenes.

NIMASA Director-General, Dr. Dayo Mobereola, disclosed this during a stakeholders’ engagement meeting organised by the Ministry in Lagos on Thursday.

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Dr. Mobereola said the agency had observed with grave concern the increasing penetration of foreigners into aspects of ports and shipping business that are exclusively meant for Nigerian operators, including shipping agency and freight forwarding services — sectors where indigenous practitioners have long raised alarm.

“We need to establish a mandatory registration and licensing portal for Nigerian shipping agents. They would be the only ones with the rights to operate in the Nigerian shipping industry,” the NIMASA boss declared.

He added that the agency had also uncovered a troubling pattern where foreign nationals were registering companies through Nigerian fronts to circumvent existing rules.

“We noticed that these foreigners are registering companies with the assistance of Nigerians. The purpose here is to eliminate such acts and help us develop the Nigerian shipping sector — most importantly the shipping agents sector — to make it more economically friendly and create jobs for Nigerians,” he said.

Dr. Mobereola confirmed that the new department would be established soon, pending approval from the Honourable Minister of Marine and Blue Economy.

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The proposed unit is expected to bring structure and legal clarity to a space that industry stakeholders say has been undermined for years by the activities of foreign interests — often operating covertly through proxy arrangements with local collaborators.

Waterways News gathered that the move has been broadly welcomed by indigenous shipping practitioners who have consistently called on regulatory authorities to enforce indigenisation policies in the maritime sector.


Waterways News — Nigeria’s Foremost Maritime Industry Publication | www.waterwaysnews.ng

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Blue Economy

NPA Boss: Port Concession Renewal Delayed for Thorough Review, Not Negligence

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NPA BOSS: PORT CONCESSION RENEWALS DELAYED FOR THOROUGH REVIEW, NOT NEGLIGENCE

Dantsoho says flawed agreements could create bigger problems; urges ICD operators to adapt to changing market realities

By Okeoghene Onoriobe | Waterways News Correspondent, Lagos

The Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA) has broken its silence on the prolonged delay in renewing seaport concession agreements, attributing the hold-up to an ongoing comprehensive review designed to strengthen contractual frameworks and shore up investor confidence.
Speaking to maritime journalists in Lagos, NPA Managing Director Abubakar Dantsoho said the Federal Government is deliberately prioritising the correction of structural deficiencies in existing agreements before any renewals are approved — a signal that the administration is unwilling to repeat the contractual pitfalls that have dogged Nigeria’s port sector for nearly two decades.

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Background: Contracts Running Out
Nigeria’s seaports were handed over to private terminal operators in 2006 under the administration of former President Olusegun Obasanjo, with concession agreements ranging between 10 and 25 years. With many of those contracts now expired or expiring, uncertainty has deepened across the terminal operating community, with concessionaires growing increasingly anxious over the absence of fresh agreements.

Get It Right” — Dantsoho
Dantsoho acknowledged the frustrations of terminal operators but held firm that quality must take precedence over speed. Both the NPA and concessionaires, he said, have identified unmet obligations on various sides — issues that must be resolved upfront to prevent costly disputes down the line.
“The focus is to get it right. A flawed agreement could create bigger problems later, while a well-structured one will provide long-term stability,” the NPA chief stated.
He also pushed back against the notion that slow processing undermines investor appeal, arguing that serious investors value legal clarity and contractual certainty far more than the pace of execution. A rigorous review, he noted, could even attract fresh investors should any existing operators choose not to renew.

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ICD Operators Told to Restrategise
On the question of inland container depots (ICDs) and bonded terminals, Dantsoho issued a pointed advisory: adapt or risk irrelevance. He noted that while such facilities were critical pressure valves during periods of severe port congestion, the progressive easing of gridlock at Nigeria’s major ports has begun to erode the commercial rationale for their current operating models. Operators, he warned, must restrategise to remain competitive in a shifting maritime landscape.

NIGERIA WATCH: What this means for terminal operators, freight forwarders, and port stakeholders
The NPA’s position on concession renewals has far-reaching implications for virtually every layer of Nigeria’s maritime supply chain.
For terminal operators at Apapa, Tin Can Island, and the emerging Lekki Deep Sea Port, the delay introduces commercial uncertainty — investment decisions on equipment, berth upgrades, and staffing are difficult to commit to without clarity on tenure. Some operators are believed to be operating on tacit month-to-month arrangements, a situation that discourages capital expenditure.
For freight forwarders and shippers, stability of terminal operations directly affects cargo handling efficiency, tariff predictability, and turnaround times. Protracted uncertainty at the operator level has a downstream effect on the cost of doing business through Nigerian ports.
The NPA’s hint that new investors could enter if existing concessionaires step aside is significant. It opens the door to fresh capital and potentially more competitive terminal management — but only if the review produces the legally watertight agreements Dantsoho is promising.
On ICDs and bonded terminals, the warning is clear: the congestion-driven business model of the past is fading. As the NPA and the Nigerian Shippers’ Council (NSC) continue to push efficiency reforms, facilities that once thrived on cargo diversion and storage overflow must find new value propositions — whether in last-mile logistics, warehousing, or value-added trade facilitation services.
The Federal Ministry of Marine and Blue Economy and NIMASA will also be watching closely, as the outcome of the concession review will set the template for how Nigeria manages its blue economy assets going forward — and whether the country can finally position its ports as competitive gateways in the West African sub-region.

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Blue Economy

NSW Opens Apapa Support Centre as Digital Trade Platform Goes Live

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NSW Opens Apapa Support Centre as Digital Trade Platform Goes Live

By Emetena Ikuku, Waterways News Correspondent

LAGOS — The management of Nigeria’s National Single Window (NSW) has established a dedicated stakeholder support centre at 34 Wharf Road, Apapa, following the go-live of the country’s long-awaited digital trade facilitation platform last Friday.

The NSW platform — a Federal Government initiative to consolidate all port-related documentation and regulatory processes into a single digital environment — launched formally earlier in the week before transitioning to full commercial operations days later, marking a significant shift from pilot-phase testing to live deployment.

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Support Centre Targets Smooth Onboarding
The Apapa facility is designed to assist port operators, freight forwarders, customs agents and other stakeholders encountering difficulties navigating the new system. Its location on Wharf Road, at the heart of Nigeria’s busiest port corridor, is intended to ensure ease of access for users operating within the Apapa axis.
Beyond physical walk-in support, the NSW management has activated a multi-channel helpdesk offering assistance via telephone, WhatsApp and email to address operational issues and resolve platform inquiries.
Management urged stakeholders to utilise the available support services, noting that effective onboarding is central to realising the platform’s full trade facilitation potential.

Platform Aims to Cut Cargo Dwell Time
The NSW is engineered to eliminate manual documentation bottlenecks by integrating all port clearance, regulatory and compliance processes under one digital roof. Authorities say full deployment is expected to reduce the cost of doing business at Nigerian ports and accelerate cargo throughput — objectives that have long ranked among the priorities of the Federal Ministry of Marine and Blue Economy.

See also  Oyetola Takes Nigeria's Blue Economy Drive to Monrovia, Rallies West Africa on Fisheries Investment and Regional Unity

Nigeria Watch
The go-live of the National Single Window carries direct implications for operators across the Nigerian port ecosystem. At Apapa and Tin Can Island — where manual documentation cycles and fragmented agency interactions have historically inflated cargo dwell times — the platform’s ability to centralise clearance processes could offer meaningful efficiency gains for importers, freight forwarders and terminal operators alike.
For the Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA) and the Nigerian Shippers’ Council (NSC), seamless NSW adoption among port users will be a key indicator of whether the digital trade agenda translates into measurable reductions in port congestion and logistics costs. NIMASA, whose regulatory mandate intersects with vessel and cargo documentation, will also have a stake in the platform’s integration architecture.
Freight forwarding associations and licensed customs agents — many of whom remain accustomed to manual and semi-manual clearance pathways — will likely represent the largest onboarding challenge. The placement of the support centre on Wharf Road, rather than at a government ministry or agency complex, signals a deliberate effort to meet practitioners where they operate.
The NSW’s full commercialisation also arrives against the backdrop of broader port reform efforts, including ongoing concession reviews and the Federal Government’s push to position Nigerian ports as competitive West African trade hubs. Whether the platform achieves critical mass adoption in its early weeks will depend heavily on the responsiveness of the helpdesk infrastructure now being put to the test.

Waterways News | Lagos

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